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Home » Serie A Matchday 4 Preview: Napoli travels to Cagliari, while AC Milan hosts Venezia.
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Serie A Matchday 4 Preview: Napoli travels to Cagliari, while AC Milan hosts Venezia.

SoccerhuzBy SoccerhuzSeptember 13, 2024No Comments4 Mins Read
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Side With the Underdogs

We’re playing Venezia +1.5 on the Asian Handicap for their contest against AC Milan. We like the odds of 2.04 considering we can land a return from this wager even if the away team lose by a single goal.

AC Milan Won 3-0 in Teams’ Previous H2H

AC Milan played out a 2-2 draw in their last game. This was away from home at Stadio Olimpico, Rome against Lazio. They had most of the ball enjoying 58% possession and three shots on target, while Strahinja Pavlovic and Rafael Leao scored one goal apiece.

Venezia lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Torino by a 1-0 scoreline at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo. They recorded four shots on goal and had 42% possession.

AC Milan beat Venezia in their last head-to-head clash. It was a 3-0 scoreline at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.

AC Milan – Last 10 League Games

1 win, 3 losses and 6 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 18.0 attempts. AC Milan have had 59.6% possession, 522.0 passes and 7.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.1 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.4 corners.

Rafael Leao is the top goalscorer with 4, Christian Pulisic has 3, with Noah Okafor and two other players on 2. Leading assistor is Christian Pulisic with 3, while goalie Marco Sportiello has recorded 1 clean sheets.

Venezia – Last 10 League Games

Venezia have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.0 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. They have averaged 43.8% possession, 363.0 passes, 3.3 corners taken and 6.9 corners against, while conceding 1.1 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts.

Jay Idzes has landed 3 goals, Joel Pohjanpalo 2, with Magnus Kofod Andersen and two others scoring 1. Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Gianluca Busio and Nicholas Pierini have all made 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Jesse Joronen has 1 clean sheets.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

AC Milan (predicted lineup): Mike Maignan, Davide Calabria, Fikayo Tomori, Strahinja Pavlovic, Theo Hernandez, Youssouf Fofana, Tijjani Reijnders, Christian Pulisic, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Rafael Leão, Tammy Abraham.

Venezia (predicted lineup): Jesse Joronen, Jay Idzes, Michael Svoboda, Marin Sverko, Antonio Candela, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Alfred Duncan, Francesco Zampano, Gaetano Oristanio, Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Joel Pohjanpalo.

Expert Serie A Analysis

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. Team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key AC Milan vs Venezia league stats:

  • The +1.5 line has been covered by Venezia in 2 of their last 3 games.
  • The +1.5 line has been covered by Venezia in 2 consecutive games.
  • The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by AC Milan in any of their last 5 games.
  • The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by AC Milan in 9 of their last 10 games.
  • The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by AC Milan in 5 consecutive games.

Venezia look capable of punching above their weight and we’ll back the underdogs +1.5 at a price of 2.04. The bet appeals for this Serie A encounter and there’s a nice potential payout.

Bettors have the flexibility of being able to buy or sell goals depending on whether they want a safer or a riskier wager, with the odds moving according to the line.

Venezia +1.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 49% chance of winning. However, we have this number between 55-60% based on our in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

 

 

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