Only one place separates the two teams, but with the Viola holding a four-point lead over Milan, the home team can’t afford to lose.
AC Milan will start Matchday 31 ninth in the table with 47 points from 30 matches. The Rossoneri have won 13, drawn eight and lost nine.
Milan took a break from their Serie A woes on Wednesday when they faced city rivals Inter in the first leg of their Coppa Italia semi-final. The match finished 1-0 with Tammy Abraham scoring for the Red and Blacks and Hakan Calhanoglu finding the net for the blue half of the city.
Attention now turns back to Serie A for Milan head coach Sergio Conceicao. His team are five points behind Roma, who occupy the final European spot in 6th place.
After a troubled start to the season that saw Paulo Fonseca sacked at the end of 2024, things have improved under Conceicao in recent weeks. Milan have won five of their last nine.
But when picking up 16 points from 27 is an improvement, it shows just how far the club have fallen.
Milan’s most recent result in the league was a 2-1 defeat away to title-chasing Napoli on Sunday. The defeat ended a two-match winning streak. The Rossoneri will want to get back to winning ways as soon as possible.
Like their opponents on Saturday, Fiorentina are also outside the top six and European qualifying places in Serie A.
The Viola are eighth in the table with 51 points from 30 matches. They have won 15, drawn six and lost nine.
Raffaele Palladino’s team is having a strange season. An impressive start to the campaign saw the Viola sitting in the top four until the turn of the year.
But things have started to go wrong in recent weeks, with Palladino’s team losing three in a row in February.
A corner seems to have been turned with three wins in their last four Serie A matches. The wins all came at their Florence home. They were against Leece (1-0), Juventus (3-0) and last Sunday, Atalanta (1-0
The Viola’s run of home form is in direct contrast to their away form. They have lost their last three on the road, although, it has to be noted that two of the defeats were to Inter and Napoli.
Milan have only won seven of their 15 matches at the San Siro in Serie A this season. The bookmakers have them at just under even money to beat a Fiorentina team that has struggled on the road in recent weeks. Our match tips are below
The Rossoneri may have only won seven from 15 at home in Serie A, but they have only lost twice on home soil. We expect them to win or draw again, and we also expect to see the home team score.
Fiorentina may have struggled on the road in recent weeks, but they have scored in five of their last six Serie A road trips.
Moise Kean has been in good form for the Viola this season. The Italian has 16 goals and three assists in his 27 Serie A matches.
After four league matches without a goal, Kean returned to form last Sunday with his team’s winner against Atalanta.
Furthermore, Keane provided an assist in the recent 2-1 loss to Napolia and also scored in his team’s 3-1 second-leg win over Panathinaikos in the Europa Conference League Round of 16 in mid-March.
He’s worth backing to continue his run against Milan.
It’s fair to say it was a bad-tempered affair. Five yellows and one red card was shown to the players, and there was even a sending off for Viola head coach Raffaele Palladino and a yellow for the then Milan head coach Paulo Fonseca.
Milan can’t afford to lose this match. It could be a feisty affair.
